To estimate a maximum purchase price for the coin in question, we will consider several factors:
1. Current Condition: The coin has a condition rating of 70 (VF-), indicating that it is in acceptable shape, but not in the best condition. This may affect the final auction price.
2. Auction History:
- The average starting price in previous auctions has been 220.45 euros, and the average final price has been 324.29 euros.
- In past auctions, the coin has had final prices that varied, but generally, final prices for similar conditions (70) have been around 230 euros.
3. Sales Trends: The coin has been auctioned 11 times, of which it has sold 8 times. This indicates good demand, although there is a 27% chance that it has not sold.
4. Recent Final Prices: In the most recent auctions, the final prices have been 170 euros (2021) and 200 euros (2024), suggesting that interest in the coin may be fluctuating.
5. Current Starting Price: The starting price is 150 euros, which is relatively low compared to the average starting price and the average final price.
Taking all these factors into account, an estimated maximum purchase price could be around 250-300 euros, considering that the average final price for similar conditions has been approximately 230 euros and that the average final price is 324.29 euros. However, since the condition is not the best, a more conservative approach would be to set the maximum price at 250 euros.
Therefore, the estimated maximum purchase price would be 250 euros.